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2025

Score-based generative emulation of impact-relevant Earth system model outputs

Bouabid, Shahine, Souza, Andre, Ferrari, Raffaele

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A framework for assessing and understanding sources of error in Earth system model emulation

Womack, Christopher, Flierl, Glenn, Bouabid, Shahine, Souza, Andre, Giani, Paolo, Eastham, Sebastian, Selin, Noelle

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Surface to seafloor: A generative AI framework for decoding the ocean interior state

Souza, Andre, Silvestri, Simone, Deck, Katherine, Bischoff, Tobias, Ferrari, Raffaele, Flierl, Glenn

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Predicting forced responses of probability distributions via the fluctuation-dissipation theorem and generative modeling

Giorgini, Ludovico, Falasca, Fabrizio, Souza, Andre

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GEN2: A generative prediction-correction framework for long-time emulations of spatially-resolved climate extremes

Wang, Mengze, Sorensen, Benedikt, Sapsis, Themistoklis

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A geographically weighted Gaussian process regression emulator of the GCHP 13.0.0 global air quality model

Wong, Anthony Y.H., Eastham, Sebastian, Monier, Erwan, Selin, Noelle

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A modified bisecting K-means for approximating transfer operators: application to the Lorenz equations

Souza, Andre N., Silvestri, Simone

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An EOF-based emulator of means and covariances of monthly climate fields

Geogdzhayev, Gosha, Souza, Andre N., Flierl, Glenn R., Ferrari, Raffaele

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High-level, high-resolution ocean modeling at all scales

Wagner, Gregory L., Silvestri, Simone, Constantinou, Navid C., Campin, Jean-Michel, Hill, Chris, Ramadhan, Ali, Chor, Tomas, Strong-Wright, Jago, Lee, Xin Kai, Poulin, Francis, Marshall, John, Ferrari, Raffaele

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

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Emulators of climate model output

Tebaldi, Claudia, Selin, Noelle, Ferrari, Raffaele, Flierl, Glenn

Annual Review of Environment and Resources

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Origin and limits of invariant warming patterns in climate models

Giani, Paolo, Fiore, Arlene M., Flierl, Glenn, Ferrari, Raffaele, Selin, Noelle E.

Journal of Climate

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Stochastic emulators of spatially resolved extreme temperatures of earth system models

Wang, Mengze, Souza, Andre N., Ferrari, Raffaele, Sapsis, Themistoklis

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

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The impact of internal variability on benchmarking deep learning climate emulators 

Lutjens, Bjorn, Ferrari, Raffaele, Watson-Parris, Duncan, Selin, Noelle

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

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Ocean emulation with Fourier neural operators: double gyre

Bire, Suyash, Lutjens, Bjorn, Azizzadenesheli, Kamyar, Anandkumar, Anima, Hill, Christopher N.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

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A GPU-based ocean dynamical core for routine mesoscale-resolving climate simulations

Silvestri, Simone, Wagner, Gregory LeClaire, Constantinou, Navid C., Hill, Christopher N., Campin, Jean-Michel, Souza, Andre Nogueira, Bishnu, Siddhartha, Churavy, Valentin, Marshall, John C., Ferrari, Raffaele

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

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Formulation and calibration of CATKE, a one-equation parameterization for microscale ocean mixing

Wagner, Gregory L., Hillier, Adeline, Constantinou Navid C., Silvestri, Simone, Souza, Andre, Burns, Keaton J., Hill, Chris, Campin, Jean-Michel, Marshall, John, Ferrari, Raffaele

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

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Machine learning for climate physics and simulations

Lai, Ching-Yao, Hassanzadeh, Pedram, Sheshadri, Aditi, Sonnewald, Maike, Ferrari, Raffaele, Balaji, Venkatramani

Annual Review of Condensed Matter Physics

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Rapid emulation of spatially resolved temperature response to effective radiative forcing

Womack, Christopher B., Giani, Paolo, Eastham, Sebastian D., Selin, Noelle E.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Link

2024

Are hourly PM2.5 forecasts sufficiently accurate to plan your day? Individual decision making in the face of increasing wildfire smoke

Berlinghieri, Renato, Burt, David, Giani, Paolo, Fiore, Arlene, Broderick, Tamara

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CalibrateEmulateSample.jl: Accelerated parametric uncertainty quantification

Dunbar, Oliver, Bieli, Melanie, Garbuno-Inigo, Alfredo, Howland, Michael, Souza, Andre, Mansfield, Laura, Wagner, Gregory, Efrat-Henrici, N.

The Journal of Open Source Software

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On the non-local nature of turbulent fluxes of passive scalars

Flierl, Glenn, Souza, Andre

Journal of Fluid Mechanics

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Spatially resolved temperature response functions to CO2 emissions

Freese, Lyssa, Giani, Paolo, Fiore, Arlene M., Selin, Noelle E.

Geophysical Research Letters

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The evolving butterfly: Statistics in a changing attractor

Geogdzhayev, Gosha, Souza, Andre N., Ferrari, Raffaele

Physica D

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Reduced Markovian models of dynamical systems

Giorgini, Ludovico T., Souza, Andre N., Schmid, Peter J.

Physica D

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Response theory via generative score modeling

Giorgini, Ludovico T., Deck, Katherine, Bischoff, Tobias, Souza, Andre

Physical Review Letters

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Representing turbulent statistics with partitions of state space.  Part 2.  The compressible Euler equations

Souza, Andre N.

Journal of Fluid Mechanics

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Representing turbulent statistics with partitions of state space.  Part 1.  Theory and methodology

Souza, Andre N.

Journal of Fluid Mechanics

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A new WENO-based momentum advection scheme for simulations of ocean mesoscale turbulence

Silvestri, Simone, Wagner, Gregory L., Campin, Jean-Michel, Constantinou, Navid C., Hill, Christopher N., Souza, Andre, Ferrari, Raffaele

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

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2023

ClimSim: A large multi-scale dataset for hybrid physics-ML climate emulation 

Yu, Sungduk, … Lutjens, Bjorn, … Pritchard, Michael S.

37th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

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Spatially-resolved emulation of climate extremes via machine learning stochastic models

Wang, Mengze, Souza, Andre, Ferrari, Raffaele, Sapsis, Themistoklis

37th Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems

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The flux-differencing discontinuous Galerkin method applied to an idealized fully compressible nonhydrostatic dry atmosphere

Souza, Andre N., He, J., Bischoff T., Waruszewski, M., Novak, L., Barra, V., Gibson, T., Sridhar, A., Kandala, S., Byrne, S., Wilcox, L.C., Kozdon, J., Giraldo, F.X., Knoth, O., Marshall, J., Ferrari, R., Schneider, T.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems

Link

CONTACT

Raffaele Ferrari

Noelle Selin

raffaele@mit.edu

selin@mit.edu

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